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What proportion of seats will the MPLA win in Angola's upcoming parliamentary elections?

0-0.100.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.1
20 Forecasters • 39 Forecasts
Started Jun 20, 2017 05:00PM
Closed Sep 1, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)
 Show All Possible Answers
A majority
100%
A plurality, but not a majority
0%
Not a plurality
0%

Will the Kurdistan Regional Government hold a popular vote on independence before 1 January 2018?

000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.9
43 Forecasters • 64 Forecasts
Started Jun 20, 2017 05:00PM
Closed Jul 1, 2018 06:59AM (7 years ago)
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and a majority will vote in favor of independence
83%
Yes, but a majority will vote against independence
0%
No
13%
  The Economist asks

What percentage of the popular vote will the Alternative for Germany party win in Germany's next federal election?

000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.8
68 Forecasters • 153 Forecasts
Started Jun 6, 2017 05:00PM
Closed Oct 23, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)
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Less than 5%
10%
Between 5% and 10%, inclusive
79%
More than 10% but less than 15%
10%
15% or more
0%
  The Economist asks

Will Uhuru Kenyatta win Kenya’s August 2017 presidential election?

88%

Chance
106 Forecasters • 317 Forecasts
Started Apr 4, 2017 05:00PM
Closed Aug 8, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)

Before 1 July 2018, will a date be set for a referendum on Northern Ireland's governance status?

5%

Chance
154 Forecasters • 539 Forecasts
Started Mar 21, 2017 05:00PM
Closed Jul 1, 2018 06:59AM (7 years ago)

Will Angela Merkel be elected as chancellor of Germany after the 2017 Bundestag election?

93%

Chance
459 Forecasters • 1241 Forecasts
Started Jan 24, 2017 06:00PM
Closed Dec 1, 2017 07:59AM (7 years ago)

Will Geert Wilders become prime minister of the Netherlands after the March 2017 elections?

0%

Chance
339 Forecasters • 680 Forecasts
Started Jan 10, 2017 06:00PM
Closed May 1, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)

When will the next Italian general election occur?

000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.9
148 Forecasters • 739 Forecasts
Started Jan 10, 2017 06:00PM
Closed Jan 1, 2018 07:59AM (7 years ago)
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 April 2017
0%
Between 1 April 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive
0%
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive
0%
Between 1 October 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive
10%
Not before 1 January 2018
91%

Will an early election or a recall referendum take place in Venezuela before 1 July 2017?

0%

Chance
256 Forecasters • 779 Forecasts
Started Dec 13, 2016 06:00PM
Closed Jul 1, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)
  The Monkey Cage asks

(Open: Exit Poll) Were you surprised by the outcome of the Senate and House elections?

25%

Chance
101 Forecasters • 108 Forecasts
Started Nov 8, 2016 06:00PM
Closed Nov 23, 2016 07:59AM (8 years ago)
 
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