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Will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu resign, lose a vote of confidence, or call new elections before 1 November 2017?

5%

Chance
151 Forecasters • 370 Forecasts
Started Apr 18, 2017 05:00PM
Closed Nov 1, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)

Of the seven Russian CEOs and government leaders listed below, how many will cease to hold their current positions by 1 July 2018?

000.050.10.150.20.250.30.350.40.450.5
88 Forecasters • 189 Forecasts
Started Mar 21, 2017 05:00PM
Closed Jul 1, 2018 06:59AM (7 years ago)
 Show All Possible Answers
0 to 1
18%
2 to 3
49%
4 to 5
19%
6 to 7
1%
  The Economist asks

Will anyone other than Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi be proclaimed caliph before 1 October 2017?

000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.8
268 Forecasters • 734 Forecasts
Started Feb 14, 2017 06:00PM
Closed Oct 1, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, while Baghdadi is alive
0%
Yes, after Baghdadi's death
20%
No
80%

Will Salva Kiir cease to be President of South Sudan before 1 December 2017?

10%

Chance
144 Forecasters • 428 Forecasts
Started Nov 15, 2016 06:00PM
Closed Dec 1, 2017 07:59AM (8 years ago)

When will Kim Jong-un cease to be supreme leader of North Korea?

000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91
475 Forecasters • 1471 Forecasts
Started Oct 18, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Oct 1, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2017
0%
Between 1 January 2017 and 31 March 2017
0%
Between 1 April 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive
0%
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive
1%
Not before 1 October 2017
99%

Before 2018, will there be a new president of Zimbabwe?

000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.8
181 Forecasters • 839 Forecasts
Started Sep 20, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Jan 1, 2018 07:59AM (7 years ago)
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, Emmerson Mnangagwa
5%
Yes, Phelekezela Mphoko
1%
Yes, Grace Mugabe
4%
Yes, someone else
4%
No
80%

Will Ashraf Ghani cease to be president of Afghanistan before 1 July 2017?

0%

Chance
201 Forecasters • 1122 Forecasts
Started Sep 13, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Jul 1, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)

When will Pierre Nkurunziza cease to be president of Burundi?

000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91
120 Forecasters • 728 Forecasts
Started Aug 23, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Jan 1, 2018 07:59AM (7 years ago)
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 January 2017
0%
Between 1 January 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive
0%
Between 1 July 2017 and 31 December 2017, inclusive
3%
Not before 1 January 2018
97%

Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan cease to be President of Turkey before 1 August 2017?

0%

Chance
535 Forecasters • 1804 Forecasts
Started Aug 2, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Aug 1, 2017 06:59AM (8 years ago)
 
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