Will conservatives retain their majority in the Majles after Iran's upcoming parliamentary elections?
Started
Dec 15, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 29, 2016 09:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 29, 2016 09:00PM UTC
Tags
Iranian conservatives include both traditional and hardline camps (Washington Post). Hardliners have held most of the seats in Iran's parliament, the Majles, since 2004, when they overturned a reformist majority (Guardian, Washington Post, Iran primer). The election is scheduled for 25 February 2016.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85.00% | |
| No | 15.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 536 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1744 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 347 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |