Will Afghanistan's Parliament confirm a Minister of Defense before 1 July 2016?
Started
Nov 24, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 20, 2016 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 20, 2016 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
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Afghanistan has not had a confirmed Minister of Defense since Ashraf Ghani was sworn in as President in September 2014 (Reuters, Voice of America).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25.00% | |
| No | 75.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 188 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1235 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 347 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |