Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test before 1 January 2017?
Started
Nov 10, 2015 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 06, 2016 01:30AM UTC
Closed Jan 06, 2016 01:30AM UTC
Challenges
Past examples of North Korean nuclear tests include those listed here: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-17823706 .
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.00% | |
| No | 48.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 363 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 748 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 347 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
