Will the US Justice Department file criminal charges against Volkswagen or any of its employees before 30 March 2016?
Started
Oct 19, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Mar 29, 2016 09:00PM (9 years ago)
Closed Mar 29, 2016 09:00PM (9 years ago)
Tags
If the Justice Department does pursue a criminal case, it would be the first-ever against an auto maker for skirting emissions standards (Wall Street Journal).
10/22/2015: The question stem was modified from "pursue a criminal case" to "file criminal charges."
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5.00% | |
| No | 95.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1017 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1948 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Oct 21, 2015 6:42PM PDT (160 days before close, question was 1% complete)