What is the likelihood of event X occurring in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 21, 2021 and Oct 21, 2021)
Started
Sep 21, 2021 07:20PM
Closed Oct 21, 2021 07:20PM (4 years ago)
Closed Oct 21, 2021 07:20PM (4 years ago)
This question is a resolved time period from What is the likelihood of event X occurring in the next 6 months?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.50% | |
| No | 57.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 2 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Sep 21, 2021 12:20PM PDT (30 days before close, question was 0% complete)