Will the Export-Import Bank of the United States be re-authorized before 1 January 2016?
Started
Sep 1, 2015 04:37PM
Closed Dec 4, 2015 02:00PM (10 years ago)
Closed Dec 4, 2015 02:00PM (10 years ago)
The Export-Import Bank's authorization expired on 1 July, but proponents of the bank are working to get it re-authorized (http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/01/business/international/though-charter-is-expiring-export-import-bank-will-keep-its-doors-open.html , http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/06/us/politics/us-export-import-bank-teetering-on-edge.html , http://thehill.com/policy/finance/247953-house-gop-draws-first-in-ex-im-showdown ). Legislation re-authorizing the bank must be signed into law by the President before taking effect.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85.00% | |
| No | 15.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 379 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1000 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Sep 4, 2015 1:12PM PDT (91 days before close, question was 3% complete)