The Economist asks
Who will win Iran's May 2017 presidential election?
Started
May 2, 2017 05:00PM
Closed May 20, 2017 05:00PM (8 years ago)
Closed May 20, 2017 05:00PM (8 years ago)
Six candidates are in the running for Iran's May 2017 presidential election (BBC, Al-Monitor, The Economist). In the event that a run-off election is required, the end date of the question will be extended.
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This question was closed as "Hassan Rohani" with an end date of 20 May 2017 (Reuters, Aljazeera). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question was closed as "Hassan Rohani" with an end date of 20 May 2017 (Reuters, Aljazeera). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Hassan Rohani | 99% | |
| Ebrahim Raisi | 1% | |
| Mohammad Baguer Ghalibaf | 0% | |
| Mostafa Mirsalim | 0% | |
| None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 161 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 387 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - May 2, 2017 10:19AM PDT (18 days before close, question was 0% complete)