What will be the average number of Bitcoin transactions per day in the first week of June 2016?
Started
Sep 28, 2015 08:10PM
Closed Jun 1, 2016 05:00PM (9 years ago)
Closed Jun 1, 2016 05:00PM (9 years ago)
Challenges
Tags
Bitcoin's increasing use presents both challenges and opportunties for traditional banking (Business Insider, Fortune, CoinDesk). The question will be resolved based on Blockchain's data for 7 June 2016 (Blockchain). This chart tracks the rolling average of the daily number of transactions over the previous 7 days. The question will be suspended on 31 May 2016 and will close when the final data for 7 June 2016 is released.
This question will be scored using the ordered categorial scoring rule. For more information, see the FAQ.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| More than 250,000 | 5% | |
| Less than 125,000 | 0% | |
| Between 125,000 and 250,000, inclusive | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 477 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2244 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Mar 9, 2016 5:55PM PST (84 days before close, question was 66% complete)