As of 31 December 2015, how many refugees and migrants will UNHCR report as having arrived in Europe by sea?
Started
Sep 21, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2015 11:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2015 11:00PM UTC
Europe is facing a refugee crisis (http://www.unhcr.org/55eed5d66.html , http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/refugee-crisis-how-europes-alarming-lack-of-unity-over-the-issue-could-bring-about-the-break-up-of-the-eu-10492151.html , http://neurope.eu/article/a-call-for-collective-courage/ ). Question will be resolved using the data available on UNHCR's Emergency Response Page for the Mediterranean as of 31 December 2015 (http://data.unhcr.org/mediterranean/regional.html ).
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 560,000 | 0% | |
| Between 560,000 and 710,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 710,000 but less than 1 million | 23% | |
| 1 million or more | 77% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 358 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2241 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 347 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
