Will there be an initial public offering on either the Shanghai Stock Exchange or the Shenzhen Stock Exchange before 1 January 2016?
Started
Sep 1, 2015 04:37PM
Closed Nov 30, 2015 02:00PM (10 years ago)
Closed Nov 30, 2015 02:00PM (10 years ago)
Tags
China suspended initial public offerings (IPOs) in early July (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-07-04/china-stock-brokers-set-up-19-billion-fund-to-stem-market-rout , http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/07/05/us-china-markets-brokerage-pledge-idUSKCN0PE08E20150705 , http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-setting-up-fund-to-stabilize-stock-market-1435991611 ).
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.00% | |
| No | 45.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 148 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 545 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Nov 20, 2015 5:06AM PST (10 days before close, question was 89% complete)