What will be the lowest closing spot price for West Texas Intermediate crude oil, according to the US Energy Information Agency, between 14 September 2015 and 30 December 2015?
Started
Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM
Closed Dec 30, 2015 07:59AM (9 years ago)
Closed Dec 30, 2015 07:59AM (9 years ago)
Challenges
Tags
Outcome will be determined by the daily closing spot price for wholesale West Texas Intermediate crude oil at http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/prices.cfm. For historical data, see http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_d.htm.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Between $34.00 and $40.00 per barrel, inclusive | 88% | |
| More than $40.00 per barrel | 1% | |
| Less than $34.00 per barrel | 11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 773 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 3470 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Nov 18, 2015 2:51AM PST (41 days before close, question was 61% complete)