What will be the world fertility rate in [2023], according to Our World in Data?
Started
Jul 15, 2022 09:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Closed Sep 15, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Make Elon proud! https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/population-and-demography?facet=none&Metric=Fertility+rate&Sex=Both+sexes&Age+group=Total&Projection+Scenario=None&country=~OWID_WRL
This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.
Final Crowd Forecast
| Time Period | 90% chance to be above | Crowd Forecast | 90% chance to be below |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.71 | 2.02 | 3.24 |
| 2023 | 1.59 | 1.97 | 2.64 |
| 2024 | 0.69 | 2.02 | 3.24 |
| 2025 | 1.58 | 1.91 | 2.23 |
| 2026 | |||
| 2027 | |||
| 2028 | |||
| 2029 | |||
| 2030 | |||
| 2031 | 0.67 | 1.93 | 3.22 |
| 2032 | 1.08 | 1.8 | 2.25 |
| 2033 | |||
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| 2048 | |||
| 2049 | 0.7 | 1.95 | 3.21 |
| 2050 | 0.68 | 1.94 | 3.21 |
| 2051 | 0.71 | 1.9 | 3.21 |
| 2052 | 0.91 | 1.55 | 2.17 |
| 2053 | 0.77 | 1.96 | 3.22 |
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| 2119 | 0.68 | 1.99 | 3.24 |
| 2120 | 0.68 | 1.93 | 3.22 |
| 2121 | 0.79 | 1.97 | 2.99 |
| 2122 | 0.84 | 1.19 | 1.93 |