YOUR AD HERE
 

Will any member of China's Politburo resign, be suspended, or be removed from the Politburo in 2016?

Started May 24, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
China's anti-corruption campaign has come under public scrutiny after a number of Politburo members were implicated in the Panama Papers (Wall Street Journal, NY Times, TIME, The Guardian). Recommended Questions: Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017? Will Keiko Fujimori win Peru's upcoming presidential election? Will Nawaz Sharif, whose family was recently implicated in the Panama Papers, cease to be Prime Minister of Pakistan in 2016?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 240
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125
Number of Forecasts 1048
Average for questions older than 6 months: 347
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.359871
2.
-0.359622
3.
-0.354249
4.
-0.341671
5.
-0.328759

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username