How many seats will the Justice and Development Party (AKP) win in Turkey's snap elections?
Started
Sep 01, 2015 04:37PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2015 10:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2015 10:00PM UTC
The Justice and Development Party (AKP) failed to win a single-party majority in June's general election for the first time since 2002. After negotiations aimed at forming a coalition government collapsed, snap elections have been scheduled for 1 November. For more information see: www.wsj.com/articles/turkey-to-head-to-snap-polls-in-november-1440522516 .
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| A majority | 22% | |
| A plurality | 78% | |
| Not a plurality | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 194 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 567 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 347 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
