Will Haiti hold run-off presidential elections as scheduled on 24 April 2016?
Started
Apr 5, 2016 05:00PM
Closed Apr 24, 2016 09:00PM (9 years ago)
Closed Apr 24, 2016 09:00PM (9 years ago)
Challenges
Presidential elections in Haiti in October 2015 failed to produce a clear winner. After being postponed twice, the runoffs are scheduled to be held 24 April 2016 (Reuters, Miami Herald).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 198 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 323 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Apr 5, 2016 10:28AM PDT (19 days before close, question was 0% complete)