Will the closing spot price for a barrel of Brent crude oil dip below $20.00 before 1 May 2016?
Started
Feb 16, 2016 06:00PM
Closed Apr 30, 2016 09:00PM (9 years ago)
Closed Apr 30, 2016 09:00PM (9 years ago)
Challenges
Outcome will be determined by the daily closing spot price for wholesale Brent crude oil at US EIA Daily Prices. For historical data, see history.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1030 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2044 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Feb 16, 2016 10:00AM PST (74 days before close, question was 0% complete)