Will California extend the current restriction on urban water use before it expires on 29 February 2016?
Started
Jan 12, 2016 06:00PM
Closed Feb 2, 2016 10:00PM (9 years ago)
Closed Feb 2, 2016 10:00PM (9 years ago)
Challenges
Tags
Drought Monitor). On 1 April 2015, Governor Jerry Brown imposed California's first mandatory water restrictions, requiring a 25% reduction in urban water use until the end of February 2016 (The Economist, CA Executive Order 1). On 13 November 2015, a further executive order ruled that if drought conditions persist beyond January 2016, water restrictions will be extended until 31 October 2016 (CA Executive Order 2).
Any extension of restrictions on urban water use will count, even if there are modifications to those restrictions.
More than 90% of California is experiencing a 'severe drought' or worse (Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 95.00% | |
No | 5.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 512 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 125 | |
Number of Forecasts | 734 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 349 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
Most Accurate
Relative Brier Score
Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time
- - - Correct answer became the crowd's highest probability answer - Jan 12, 2016 10:34AM PST (21 days before close, question was 0% complete)